Arizona’s 10 Safest Cities of 2021

1. Florence
2. Oro Valley
3. Gilbert
4. San Luis
5. Sahuarita
6. Surprise
7. Somerton
8. Lake Havasu City
9. Maricopa
10. Prescott Valley

Nearly 50% of Arizona residents are highly concerned about their safety on a daily basis, and over half (54%) think The Grand Canyon State is a safe place to call home. For the residents of the 10 safest cities in Arizona, that feeling of safety is likely to be even higher.

This year we saw a continued drop in statewide crime rates, and personal experiences with crime remained stagnant or dropped year over year. But Arizona still reports a higher incidence of crime than most of the country.

2021 Arizona crime rates

Year over year, both violent and property crime rates dropped in Arizona. Violent crime incidents dipped from 4.7 per 1,000 people to 4.6, and property crime fell from 26.8 incidents per 1,000 to 24.4.

Regionally, Arizona has the third-highest violent crime rate after New Mexico (8.3) and Nevada (4.9). And it has the third-highest property crime rate behind New Mexico (31.1) and Colorado (25.9). Among all 50 states, Arizona has the tenth-highest violent crime rate and the fourteenth-highest property crime rate.

Level of concern and experience with crime in Arizona

Even though crime rates are trending down, Arizona’s level of daily concern about safety jumped nine percentage points from 40% to 49%. Arizonans are also more concerned about every crime classification we asked about.

Crime concerns in Arizona

We asked Arizona residents which crimes they worry may happen to them. See if Arizonans are concerned about the same crime issues as the rest of the country.

Violent Crime in Arizona: Fear vs. Reality

Arizona sees more violent crime than most of the US, but fewer Arizona survey respondents reported a personal experience with violent crime this year—8% compared to the national average of 10%. On some level, residents seem tuned in to those higher crime rates with more daily concern and more people taking proactive personal protection measures.

  • Every day, 51% of Arizonans worry about a violent crime happening to them—that’s 10 percentage points higher than the national average.
  • 8% of survey respondents reported having a personal experience with violent crime in the past 12 months—the same percentage as last year.
  • Murder makes up just 1.1% of all violent crime in the state (US 1.4%), but among the safest cities, it makes up 2.3% of all reported violent crimes.
  • Rape accounts for 18% of all violent crime in Arizona’s safest cities, 12% across the state, and 8% nationwide.
  • 42% of Arizona survey respondents use some form of personal protection like pepper spray (US 34%).
  • 44% say their personal safety has been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic (US 44%).
  • 57% of Arizonans worry about gun violence daily, but mass shootings decreased year over year.

Attitudes about police and gun violence in Arizona

  • Gun violence stands out as the overall safety issue Arizonans are most worried about—57% are highly concerned about it every day, versus 53% nationwide.
  • Only 7% reported having a personal experience with gun violence in the past year, while 49% say they worry about gun violence happening to them. That’s 11 percentage points higher than the average number of Americans worried about gun violence every day.
  • Arizona saw six mass shootings in 2019 and four in 2020.
  • Officer-involved shootings increased this year, rising from 75 total incidents in 2019 to 99 in 2020.
  • 49% of survey participants say they have confidence in law enforcement, versus 56% nationwide.

Property Crime in Arizona: Fear vs. Reality

Arizona sees more property crime than most states, which makes it no surprise that property crime causes the most worry in The Grand Canyon State. Even though reports of personal experiences with property crime fell year over year, Arizonans are more proactive about home security than most Americans.

  • 14% of survey respondents reported having a personal experience with property crime in the past 12 months—that’s eight percentage points below last year.
  • 18% of Arizonans fell prey to porch pirates in the past 12 months, which lines up with higher larceny-theft rates statewide and among the safest cities.
  • Larceny-theft makes up 80.9% of all property crime reported in Arizona’s safest cities, 74.6% across the state, and 73.4% nationwide.
  • Burglary accounts for just 12% of all property crime among the safest cities, 16.2% in Arizona, and 16.1% across the US.
  • 72% of survey respondents use some form of property protection (US 62%), with security cameras and guard dogs used most often (35% each).
  • 32% say the security of their property has been affected by the pandemic (US 29%).

A Closer Look at the Safest Cities in Arizona

For the purposes of this report, the terms “dangerous” and “safest” refer explicitly to crime rates as calculated from FBI crime data—no other characterization of any community is implied or intended.

  • 32 cities qualified to be ranked in Arizona this year. That’s less than in previous years, so we reduced our list to 10 cities instead of 20.
  • All of the safest cities have lower crime rates than the state, the Mountain region, and the US.
  • Florence is the number one safest city in Arizona for the second consecutive year.
  • 90% of the cities made our list for the second year in a row, with Somerton making its debut this year.
  • 3 cities improved in rank this year: Oro Valley, Gilbert, and Surprise.
  • 5 of the safest cities (50%) had fewer than 50 total violent crime incidents each.
  • 8 cities (80%) reported fewer than 100 total violent crime incidents each.
  • Only one city had zero murders: San Luis.
  • Gilbert and Surprise are the two most populous cities and reported nearly half (46.4%) of all violent crimes among the safest cities and 60.8% of all property crimes.
  • Florence is the only city to report fewer than 100 total property crimes.

[Prescott ranks 22 on the list, with a population of 43,781,  Violent Crime (per 1,000) 4.9, and Property Crime (per 1,000) 15.6]

 

For the full report go here . 

 

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