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Data Orbital is pleased to announce the results of its latest statewide, mixed-mode survey of likely General Election Voters. The survey was conducted from November 4th to 6th. The survey measured support for candidates in Arizona’s state-wide elections as well as the generic congressional ballot.
The day before Election Day, Republicans hold an advantage in nearly every statewide race in Arizona.
Democrat Mark Kelly is the lone Democrat with a lead. He holds a 48.2 to 46.5% advantage over Republican Blake Masters. Withdrawn Libertarian Candidate Marc Victor is polling at 1.8% while 2.5% remain undecided. This race has tightened considerably since our first General Election poll in August showing Kelly up by 10%.
In the Arizona Gubernatorial race, Republican nominee Kari Lake leads Democratic nominee Katie Hobbs 49.7% to 46.6% with 2.0% undecided.
In the race for Secretary of State, Republican Mark Finchem has a 48.3% to 46.6% lead over Democrat Adrian Fontes with 3.5% undecided.
Republican Abe Hamadeh leads Democrat Kris Mayes in the race for Arizona Attorney General by a 48.4% to 45.3% margin. 4.9% remain undecided.
Finally in the race for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction, Republican Tom Horne leads Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hoffman 49.0% to 43.7% with 5.7% undecided.
When it comes to the generic congressional ballot, Republicans hold a strong 6.4% advantage over Democrats, 49.2% to 42.8% with 6.1% undecided.
Pollster George Khalaf had this to say about the latest results, “As we close in on Election Day 2022, the picture for who will lead all of Arizona’s statewide offices is getting clearer. Republicans have the advantage in all but one of the Statewide races we polled. These races have been trending positively for Republicans over the last month. The survey results also clearly show that very few voters are interested in split-ticketing – casting votes for both Republicans and Democrats – in the statewide races. Given that data and the way early ballot returns are trending, I believe Republicans are able to win all statewide races in Arizona in 2022.”
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This poll of 550 likely general election voters was conducted through a combination of live phone survey and text-to-web that collected 33.1% of the results from live caller landlines, 35.7% from live caller cell phones, and 31.2% via text-to-web. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.26% with a 95% confidence interval. Respondents were weighted on a number of different demographic figures based on prior general election voter turnout figures. The poll was conducted from November 4 – November 6, 2022. The questions released are verbatim from the survey provided to respondents. Toplines and demographic data can be found here. Crosstabs for this survey can be found here.
ABOUT DATA ORBITAL:
Data Orbital is a full-service data solutions and survey research firm with local, state, and national experience. We offer precise data solutions, informed by political and policy intelligence, so our clients can chart the right course through the corporate or political landscape ahead.
6 thoughts on “Final AZ General Election Polls: Republicans in a Strong Position Going into Election Day 2022 – Data Orbital”
Here’s how it will play out today for most, but not all, elections:
TRUE REPUBLICAN VOTE COUNT – RADICAL LEFT VOTER FRAUD > TRUE DEMOCRAT VOTE COUNT
Think about his when you cast your ballot today.
Yesterday the UN started barking out bureaucratic demands that “Developed Countries” (that’s UN bureaucrat-speak for “The US Taxpayer”) to hand over $2 Trillion per year to developing countries as “reparations” for the (fake) climate emergency. They specifically excluded the country that pollutes more than all others combined….CHINA. I’m not sure who these clowns think they are, but we should not only tell them NO, but stop contributing to the UN completely. Put them out of business and tell them to learn how to code.
FACT: everyone in the world thinks the US Taxpayer is nothing more than a gigantic bag of money to be plundered. And, you can be sure of two things: 1) Most of the money will be stolen by corrupt politicians. 2) The US Taxpayer will get nothing in return.
VOTE STRAIGHT REPUBLICAN GOLDEN TICKET!!
MAGA!!
Let us Pray. Dear God in Heaven, be with the good people of America today as you have in past critical times for the United States of America. You brought the Pilgrims safely to Plymouth in 1620. You led a less than successful General Washington to turn the tide in the Revolutionary War on more than one occasion. You supervised the creation of the Deceleration of Independence and the creation of our Sacred constitution.
Today, Your sacred will is called upon. All you have presided over for 402 years is in jeopardy. Let Your will be present in all counties and states of America as “We the People” exercise our right to select the best candidates for America’s future. And may it be so. Amen
Good words, Tom.
FROM BREITBART NEWS: “In a pair of Tweets, Maricopa officials announced at 1:06 p.m. local time that the county “has identified the solution for the tabulation issues at about 60 Vote Centers. County technicians have changed the printer settings, which seems to have resolved this issue. It appears some of the printers were not producing dark enough timing marks on ballots,” they added. “This solution has worked at 17 locations, and technicians deployed throughout the county are working to resolve this issue at the remaining locations.””
TABULATION ISSUES AT ABOUT 60 VOTE CENTERS? OK, one or two polling stations…BUT 60!! This is not due to random chance. This is a systematic plan for the Radical Leftists that run Maricopa County to damage their political opponents. Filth!
TECHNICIANS HAVE CHANGED PRINTER SETTINGS? Dear Radical Left Money Thieves, you ain’t fooling us. You had all the chances the world to check the printer settings BEFORE Election Day, run tests, make sure everything was in order. Again, these are not random chance failures, this is a systematic attempt to skew election results. Fraud!
SEEMS TO HAVE RESOLVED THE ISSUE? What, they said specifically that the supposed “fix” worked at 17 out of 60 polling stations. WHAT ABOUT THE OTHER 43 polling stations? Ooooh, ooooh, we fixed the problem at 17 places so we’re wonderful, only the Democrats can fix problems, please proceed to hand over all your money and property, then shut up, do what we tell you to do and everything will be OK. Clowns!
INVESTIGATE! ARREST ANYONE THAT BROKE ELECTION LAW!!
10 AM Wednesday the 9th its reported that people who turned in their ballots on Monday and Tuesday plus those voting Tuesday, have delayed counting about 900,000 ballots with 65-75% believed to be Republican. That’s enough to overcome the leads for Governor, Attorney General and Secretary of State. Stay tuned and don’t give up hope. M A G A
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