polls

Opinion

Opinion: In Close Georgia Senate Races, Money Might Actually Make a Difference

The Georgia Senate runoffs concluding Tuesday aren’t just the new year’s most-watched pollical battle, they are also among the priciest. Democratic candidates Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff have raised astonishing amounts of money–more than $100 million each, while Republican incumbents David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler have also raised huge sums, albeit less ($58 million). That’s

Politics

Is It Time to Pull the Plug on Political Polling?

If your financial adviser repeatedly gave you stock picks that were off by 200 or 300 percent, and always in the wrong direction, would you keep trusting them with your money? Then why, political observers are asking, should Americans trust our democratic process to political pollsters. The final numbers still aren’t in, and with big,

Politics

In Arizona, Presidential and U.S. Senate Races Shift One Day Before Election Day

Data Orbital is pleased to announce the results of its latest statewide, live-caller survey of likely general election voters. The survey was conducted from October 28th to 30th. For the first time this entire cycle, our survey shows President Trump within less than 1% of Vice President Biden. 45.3% of likely voters selected President Trump,

Politics

The Lone Pollster Who Predicted Trump’s 2016 Victory Sees 2020 Repeat

If Donald Trump wins Pennsylvania on Tuesday, it may or may not make him the big winner of the night. But if he wins Pennsylvania, it will undoubtedly make the Trafalgar Group among the most important polling firms in the country. The Trafalgar Group was the only outfit that called the Keystone State for Trump

Politics

GOP expects Schweikert to hold off challenger; analysts aren’t so sure

A national Republican campaign official expressed confidence Wednesday that Rep. David Schweikert, R-Fountain Hills, can fend off a challenge from Democrat Hiral Tipirneni, who leads in some polls and has raised millions more for her campaign. Rep. Tom Emmer, R-Minn., chairman of the Republican National Congressional Committee, based his confidence on Schweikert’s “established brand name”

Opinion

Opinion: What if the Presidential Contest Isn’t Close?

The old adage goes: military generals always fight the last war. Maybe the same is true for punditry. In 2016, nearly all the politicos predicted a victory for Hillary Clinton. Stung by their public humiliation four years ago, today most of the “experts” are acting like the presidential race is neck-and-neck even though nearly all

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