Update, March 12 @ 7 AM - Here is the latest precipitation report:
This precipitation report may be updated throughout the day. Rain is expected to start late Thursday morning.
Rain showers increase again this afternoon and overnight. Areas along and south of the Mogollon Rim and the Grand Canyon Country will see the most rain. Some area streams and creeks are already flowing high. Additional rain will increase the likelihood of flooding. #azwx pic.twitter.com/uCiyL4CHFx— NWS Flagstaff (@NWSFlagstaff) March 12, 2020
Wednesday afternoon brought a bit of a respite from the rain, but it is expected to return on Thursday.
According to the weather predictions, Thursday should bring, "Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 3pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 57. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.” The rain could continue into Saturday.
Here is the weather report from the National Weather Service (NWS) in Flagstaff:
AZZ008-018-037-038-121200- /O. CON. KFGZ. FF. A.0002.200312T1800Z-200314T0000Z/ /00000.0. ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z. OO/ Yavapai County Mountains-Northern Gila County- Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons- Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork, Payson, Strawberry, Young, Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction, Bagdad, and Sedona 135 PM MST Wed Mar 11 2020
... FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 5 PM MST FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
The Flash Flood Watch continues for
* Portions of east central Arizona and west central Arizona, including the following areas, in east central Arizona, Northern Gila County. In west central Arizona, Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons, Yavapai County Mountains, and Yavapai County Valleys and Basins.
* From 11 AM MST Thursday morning through 5 PM MST Friday afternoon.
* A storm system will bring subtropical moisture and embedded showers and thunderstorms to much of the area Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon. Expect rainfall totals of 1.5 to 2.5 inches across Yavapai and northern Gila county in areas that will have already received 1 to 2 inches of rain in the preceding two days. This will lead to elevated flow in area washes, creeks, streams and rivers.
A Flash Flood Watch Means That Developing Conditions May Lead To Flash Flooding Within The Watch area. People...especially those located along area creeks...rivers or other flash flood prone areas...should continue to monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take immediate action should flash flood warnings be issued.
Flood Advisory Flood Advisory National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 1044 PM MST Wed Mar 11 2020
AZC005-025-121045- /O. CON. KFGZ. FA. Y.0004.000000T0000Z-200312T1045Z/ /00000. N. ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z. OO/ Yavapai-Coconino- 1044 PM MST Wed Mar 11 2020
... THE SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM MST FOR YAVAPAI AND COCONINO COUNTIES...
At 1037 PM MST, members of the general public reported water across Verde Lakes Drive from elevated flows on West Clear Creek. The gage on West Clear Creek reports a 2.5 foot rise this evening and 1400 cubic feet of flow at 10 PM.
Between 1.50 and 3 inches of rain have fallen in the Oak Creek, Beaver Creek and West Clear Creek basins in since Monday evening.
While water flows on area streams are expected to slowly decrease, overnight, waterways will be filled and low water crossings affected.
Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Sedona, Munds Park, Mcguireville, Village At Oak Creek, Montezuma Castle National Monument, Page Springs, Montezuma Well, Rimrock, Lake Montezuma, Cornville, Wet Beaver Creek Campground, Red Rock State Park, V Bar V Visitors Center and Clear Creek Campgrounds.
This includes the following streams and drainages... Dry Beaver Creek, Wet Beaver Creek, Oak Creek, Beaver Creek, Rattlesnake Canyon, Fossil Creek, West Clear Creek, Rarick Canyon, Jacks Canyon.
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.
A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.