Expect showers today as a moist and unstable southwesterly flow ahead of a trough over the Great Basin impacts Arizona. Most precipitation will be over high terrain (see this morning’s attached HRRR short term precip forecast), with storms repeatedly reforming (training) over southwest-facing slopes. Storm motion will be toward the northeast, with overall chances for precipitation in the 30% range, but higher near high terrain.
Drier and breezier conditions are forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday. Thursday and Friday should be cooler with highs in the upper seventies, with overnight temperatures dropping into the forties as much drier air moves in.
Additional notes for the weather nuts out there:
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Official National Weather Service forecast