Today: Nov 13 , 2019

Expect Freezing Temps Overnight
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18 November 2016   Dr. Curtis James

Freeze warning for tonight, rain possible on Monday

The figure above indicates the forecasted high in orange (with error bar denoting the range of ensemble forecast members), average high for this time of year in orange (dashed line), forecasted low in blue (with error bar), average low this time of year in blue (dashed line), and forecasted wind speed in purple. Note that the wind speed forecast is sustained wind (not gusts), and it is based on only one model (not an ensemble).

Weather Discussion:

Following the cold front that passed through the area early this morning, temperatures will be about 15 degrees colder today, with a high in the mid 50s. Tomorrow morning, the low temperature will drop into the lower 20s, prompting the National Weather Service to issue a freeze warning. It’s time to protect your gardens and exposed pipes from freezing! Pressure will rebuild into the weekend, so temperatures will warm back into the 60s and overnight lows will warm into the 30s by Saturday.

Forecasts are consistently showing that another storm system will move into Arizona early next week. This next system will dig further south and tap into plentiful moisture over the Subtropical Pacific before moving into Arizona. Expect a chance of rain Sunday afternoon to early Tuesday Morning. Forecasts are currently indicating about an inch of rain accumulation. Temperatures will be too warm for snow next week.

C. James


Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!

Further Information:

ERAU Applied Meteorology degree program

Official National Weather Service forecast

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