The figure above indicates the forecasted high in orange (with error bar denoting the range of ensemble forecast members), average high for this time of year in orange (dashed line), forecasted low in blue (with error bar), average low this time of year in blue (dashed line), and forecasted wind speed in purple. Note that the wind speed forecast is sustained wind (not gusts), and it is based on only one model (not an ensemble).
Temperatures will remain well above normal for at least another week as a large high pressure ridge prevails along the western U.S. A trough embedded within the ridge will move into the West Coast on Wednesday to Thursday, with the southern edge of the trough bringing some breezes Wednesday to Thursday and perhaps some light rain showers on Thursday to Thursday night. Otherwise, the weather should remain dry and mild this week. Not the kind of weather one would expect to persist during a strong El Niño event like this one.
Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!
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Official National Weather Service forecast