The figure above indicates the forecasted high in orange (with error bar denoting the range of ensemble forecast members), average high for this time of year in orange (dashed line), forecasted low in blue (with error bar), average low this time of year in blue (dashed line), and forecasted wind speed in purple. Note that the wind speed forecast is sustained wind (not gusts), and it is based on only one model (not an ensemble).
A strong, high-amplitude blocking ridge will persist over the Western U.S. for at least the next week, bringing mild temperatures, generally light wind, and clear skies. This type of pattern is more common during La Niña rather than El Niño winters. The long-range outlook for later in February, March, and April is still indicating that the weather is more likely to be wetter-than-normal than drier-than-normal. We are still slightly below normal on precipitation since Oct. 1.
Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!
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Official National Weather Service forecast