Discussion: An unusually cool and unsettled weather pattern will continue as a large-scale trough will remain over the Southwest for at least the next week. Three back-to-back troughs will move through Arizona during this period, the first moving across the state today and Saturday dropping between 0.25 and 0.75” of rain across portions of northern Arizona (snow levels above 6,500’). Two more systems could affect the state next Monday-Tuesday and again next Friday to Saturday with at least a slight chance of measurable precipitation.
Specific Weather Forecasts:For an official up-to-date site-specific National Weather Service forecast for any desired location, one can simply specify the lat&lon in the following link:http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=34.6&lon=-112.4or click on the map athttp://weather.govorhttp://weather.gov/fgz/.
NWS Open House:The National Weather Service will host an Open House for the general public at their office in Bellement (about 13 miles west of Flagstaff) on May 30 (see the attached flyer). The emphasis of this open house will be fire weather, and you can also enjoy watching a weather balloon. Embry-Riddle’s Applied Meteorology program will present a booth at the Open House.
Weather Spotters:If any of you would be interested in becoming a trained weather spotter for the National Weather Service to help provide forecast and warning verification and ultimately help improve the accuracy and timeliness of weather warnings for your local area, you can complete a FREE online training athttps://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_course.php?id=23.
Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!
ERAU Applied Meteorology degree program
Official National Weather Service forecast
Official National Weather Service forecast:
Here is the Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 710 AM MST FRI MAY 15 2015 AZZ004>018-037>040-160500- KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY- COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY- CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS- NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS- OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264- 710 AM MST FRI MAY 15 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO... NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY AND WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD BY AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. SNOW LEVELS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 6500 FEET FROM FLAGSTAFF WESTWARD...TO AROUND 8000 FEET NEAR THE NEW MEXICO BORDER. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL AND LOCALLY DANGEROUS ROAD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY FROM FLAGSTAFF WESTWARD AND ESPECIALLY DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. A SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM ABOVE 6500 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EXPECT DECREASING SHOWER ACTIVITY SATURDAY WITH WARMING AND DRYING CONDITIONS SUNDAY. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT COOLING TREND THEN ARRIVES MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.