The figure above indicates the forecasted high in orange bar denoting the range of ensemble forecast members), average high for this time of year in orange (dashed line), forecasted low in blue (with error bar), average low this time of year in blue (dashed line), and forecasted wind speed in purple. Note that the wind speed forecast is sustained wind (not gusts), and it is based on only one model (not an ensemble).
Spring is here, which is the windiest and driest time of year in northern Arizona. Two back-to-back disturbances with associated dry surface cold fronts will move across the area this week (Thursday and Sunday). Therefore, expect cooling temperatures and breezy conditions today – tomorrow and again Saturday – Sunday.
It appears that next week will be cooler and even more unsettled, but for now there is considerable uncertainty in the forecasts beyond Sunday.
Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!
ERAU Applied Meteorology degree program
Official National Weather Service forecast