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Michael Barone

Michael Barone

Opinion: Fundamentals, from COVID to Crime, Favor Republicans – Michael Barone

If Democrats take a drubbing in the off-year elections — and it seems increasingly likely, but not certain, that they will — it will be because they lost their moorings when the country seemed to go crazy with excessive COVID closedowns and irrational obsessions about systemic racism. Schools were closed down despite the minuscule risk

Michael Barone

Opinion: The Democratic Party’s Risk Aversion Is Harming Us All – Michael Barone

Human beings differ in how much risk they will accept. Thus, as an analyst I quoted in a recent column concluded, Russian President Vladimir Putin “was too risk-acceptant” in invading Ukraine and Chinese leader Xi Jinping “has been too risk-averse” in imposing “zero-COVID” lockdowns. Differences in accepting and averting risk appear between the sexes. Men

Michael Barone

Opinion: It’s a Hinge Year in History — for Russia and China – Michael Barone

Will 2022 turn out be a hinge year, as a moment when long-standing trends in geopolitics suddenly shifted in a different direction? This week, two important writers, one a long-established and prolific historian, the other a provocative presence on the internet, have argued persuasively that the answer is yes. But there’s one other interesting point

Michael Barone

Opinion: Are Polls Understanding Republicans’ Support? – Michael Barone

Over the last three months, political journalists have been reporting a trend toward Democrats. The Supreme Court’s reversal of Roe v. Wade, they have reported, has provided increased motivation for Democrats to turn out and vote. The easing of gas prices from their springtime peak has reduced concern about out-of-control inflation. Biden administration legislative victories

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