Opinion: The Beginning of the End – Inside Sources

Consumer prices are up almost 9 percent from where they were a year ago. For the median household, that’s equivalent to a $6,000 pay cut. Politicians have blamed corporate greed, the Ukraine war and the supply chain because they are keen to get voters to latch on to any explanation so long as it isn’t the correct explanation. The correct explanation lies with the politicians themselves.

For four decades, economists warned that the government should stop spending money it doesn’t have. But deficit spending was needed, politicians told us, to deal with the Soviet threat in the 1980s, then the Savings and Loan crisis in the 1990s, then 9/11 in the 2000s, then the housing crisis in the 2010s, then COVID in the 2020s. Generations of politicians ignored the consequences, kicking the can down the road for future generations of taxpayers to pay.

We are that future generation, and today’s inflation is one of the consequences.

The federal government collects, from all taxes combined, around $4 trillion per year. But it owes $30 trillion, and has committed to paying at least an additional $100 trillion it won’t have to future retirees. For perspective, that’s like a household with a $60,000 income being $450,000 in debt and then promising to pay for 18 kids to attend four-year private colleges.

Despite all this borrowing, inflation has been tame for a very long time. What changed is that the debt has become so large that the government has run out of places to borrow more. Until recently, the largest lender was the Social Security trust fund. Until 2010, Social Security generated a surplus and lent that surplus to the government. But around 2010, the surplus dried up. Since then, not only has Social Security had nothing to lend, it’s been needing back money it previously lent.

As the government has needed to borrow more and more, the Federal Reserve has had to take up the slack. But, unlike any other lender, when the Fed lends, the money supply grows. And when the money supply grows faster than the economy, we get inflation.

What went wrong is that we allowed the limited federal government the Founders created to escape its limits. First, politicians discovered they could win elections by paying off voters with other people’s money. And so modern elections have become contests in which politicians vie with each other to give “free” stuff to their constituents while passing on the bill to other politicians’ constituents.

Second, the Supreme Court decided to “rewrite” the Constitution by reading all manner of things into the document that the plain words on the page didn’t say. This began with Social Security. Politicians and voters wanted Social Security, yet nowhere in Article I, Section 8’s list of federal powers was any mention of establishing a national retirement and disability program. Politicians and voters pressed and the Supreme Court finally gave in, explaining that, despite what the Constitution said, the federal government did have the authority to create Social Security. From there, it was simply more of the same to get the CDC, the FDA, the EPA, ATF, and the thousands of federal departments, agencies, programs and initiatives we have today.

Third, we abandoned the gold standard. Because the quantity of gold is (largely) fixed, the quantity of dollars is also fixed when dollars are tied to gold. And when the quantity of dollars is fixed, not only can the Fed not wantonly print money but the federal government is restrained because it can only grow by raising taxes. This gives voters an incentive to apply the brakes to runaway government.

The inflation we feel today is the beginning of the end of a century-long experiment in unlimited government. By kicking the cost of government down the road, generations of politicians have managed to make it look like the unlimited government is affordable. But we’ve reached the end of the road and found that the people who must ultimately pay for unlimited government are us. And whether through taxes or inflation, pay we will.

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2 thoughts on “Opinion: The Beginning of the End – Inside Sources”

  1. A growing government has been on track for110 years at least. Conservatives led by Newt Gingrich in 1996 was able to force Clinton into balancing the budget. Those days are in great jeopardy with radical Democrats in charge today. Only a new core of constitutional conservatives can hope to bring America back if congress can be taken back in 2022 and very strong leadership can win the White House in 2024. Hopefully, the SCOTUS will hold without another leftist appointment by Biden-Obama. We know what needs to be done to put us on a path to limited government and remove us from the path to poverty for all.

  2. Good article.

    Remember, Mark Kelly and Krysten Sinema both voted to spend, spend, spend and spend some more. When asked why we need special federal taxpayer funding to maintain road infrastructure when the Arizona taxpayer had been getting hosed for decades (fuel tax, this tax, that tax) to fund those tasks, both scurry away like cockroaches. They clearly aren’t interested in the welfare of Arizonians. They just like to spend other people’s money. Bump that.

    There’s only one thing to do. Vote against cash grabbing Democrats and vote for Constitutional Conservatives.

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