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Monsoon Moisture is Here
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11 July 2017   Dr. Curtis James

Anywhere from 0-2” fell around the Prescott area.

Forecast Discussion:

Much needed moisture finally arrived in Arizona this past weekend, with anywhere from zero to over 2 inches of rain accumulation around the Prescott area. This rain has brought welcome relief to the extreme fire conditions that we have experienced, but until all areas are soaked by rain, fire danger still persists. Lightning can also ignite new wildfires if it strikes in areas that have not had much rain.

The lower atmosphere remains moist today for another round of possible showers or thunderstorms. Expect thunderstorms to develop over the higher terrain, then slowly drift eastward this afternoon and evening. Tomorrow through Thursday, slight drying of the atmosphere is anticipated as the upper-level ridge flattens and light westerly wind brings in a slightly drier airmass. However, there will continue to be a chance for thunderstorms.

By Friday, the upper-level high pressure will reestablish itself over to our north and east over Utah and Colorado, bringing a more humid airmass back across the state and increasing the likelihood of daily thunderstorm activity.  

C. James


Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!

Further Information:

ERAU Applied Meteorology degree program

Official National Weather Service forecast

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