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Cooler Than Normal This Week
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28 November 2016   Dr. Curtis James

Brrr… It’s cold out there.

The figure above indicates the forecasted high in orange (with error bar denoting the range of ensemble forecast members), average high for this time of year in orange (dashed line), forecasted low in blue (with error bar), average low this time of year in blue (dashed line), and forecasted wind speed in purple. Note that the wind speed forecast is sustained wind (not gusts), and it is based on only one model (not an ensemble).

Weather Discussion:

Expect a chance for light snow flurries the rest of today and possibly this evening before the atmosphere clears. Snow accumulation, if any, will remain light. Despite clearing skies tomorrow, breezy conditions combined with lower-than-normal temperatures will keep the apparent temperature quite low (bundle up!). Temperatures will remain below normal through the rest of the work week, with another low pressure system expected to cut off from the jet stream and dip into Arizona from the north on Thursday to Friday. There is considerable uncertainty as to the exact path of this next storm system, although there is a slight possibility of some light snow showers again on Thursday evening – Friday. Otherwise, partly cloudy and cool.

Temperatures will mostly likely rise back above normal for the coming weekend.

C. James


Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!

Further Information:

ERAU Applied Meteorology degree program

Official National Weather Service forecast

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